There is no way in this world.

At the beginning of the Academy Awards, there were no strict rules and judgments, such as the first session had no competitors, and the second "double yolk eggs", but these two exceptions have never appeared since.

Time is a thing, slow and fast.

In a blink of an eye, the Hong Kong Film Awards have come to the 43th session.

It just so happened that someone asked, "Who do you guess can win the best actor?" ”

In fact, I have long talked about the "emperor logic" from a personal perspective, but it coincides with the fact that the Academy Awards have released the promotional photos of all parties participating in the competition, so you might as well talk about it again.

Right to be entertained.

The first logic, "Even the Zhuang actor, there is no one in a hundred".

Looking at the entire Chinese film industry, there are only Chow Yun-fat, Jackie Chan and Aaron Kwok, the three "Lianzhuang actors", and only Chow Yun-fat in terms of the Academy Awards.

強如“拿獎大戶”的大小樑，大樑數十年影壇生涯、四座金像獎影帝獎盃，跨越四十年，小梁在巔峰歲月，於十一年內攫取五座金像獎影帝獎盃。

二人皆可睥睨稱雄，卻始終不得“連莊”之遇。

於今歲月，更再無可能。

The second logic, "interval".

This concept corresponds to "Lianzhuang", and there is a sense of eliminating "full occupation".

In the history of the Academy Awards, even though there are not only Tony Leung of the "six" actors, Leung Jiahui of the "four actors", Chow Yun-fat, Andy Lau and Liu Qingyun of the "three actors", and Sammo Hung, Zheng Zeshi and Zhang Jiahui of the "two" actors, but with very few exceptions, they have generally followed this logic.

The exceptions, of course, are only for Chow Yun-fat and Tony Leung.

They set an unprecedented record of winning the best actor in four years and five years respectively, while others usually have to wait for several years to win the second one, and as for the third, the interval will of course be longer.

For example, Liu Qingyun, who was shortlisted this year.

His first Academy Award actor came from 2023 years, with "I want to be famous" won Aaron Kwok with "Father and Son", and his second Academy Award actor came from 0 years, with "Eavesdropping 0" to be crowned emperor, and the most recent was 0 years with "Detective Wars".

This year is 43 years, 0 years.

The story of "Emperor the Next Year" is very far away, and as mentioned above, it has only appeared in Chow Yun-fat and Tony Leung at their peak, and I don't think that this year's Academy Awards judges and actor Liu Qingyun have the ability to withstand pressure to subdue others.

So logically speaking, Liu Qingyun may be out first.

The third logic, "the newborn tiger fails".

四十餘年的金像獎歷史上，首提即中的故事，嚴格來講，只有兩個。

One is Leung Jiahui, who has just debuted, and he was crowned emperor with "Listening to Politics with the Curtain", and the other is Nicholas Tse, the "second generation of stars", who won the emperor with "The Informant".

And this logic, Aaron Kwok encountered back then.

He first won the title of Emperor Liang Jiahui with "Three Forks" in 2005 years, and returned to the battlefield of the Academy Awards the following year, but inexplicably broke out a storm of "second from the right in a group photo", lost to Liang Jiahui, and won Wu Zhenyu with "Father and Son" in the same year, becoming the "Lianzhuang Actor", and after another year, he returned to the battlefield of the Academy Awards with a popular attitude, and lost to Liu Qingyun of "I want to be famous".

Wen Jun's comfort to him was, "Don't be discouraged, Liu Qingyun has been nominated so many times before, you have only been two years, Andy Lau has not been nominated many times, and finally it is his turn." ”

Therefore, Lin Feng and You Xuexiu, two young actors, not to mention whether their acting skills can be "tough" with the other three seniors, take the first nomination as an example, or they don't dare to think about it.

Herein lies the logic behind it.

The fourth logic is "checking and filling in the gaps".

When an award has gone through decades of spring and autumn, it is inevitable that there will be some nostalgia for things.

In the huge movie circle, many filmmakers, walking, retreating, and old, and at this time, if some veterans are still persisting and happen to play well, this rule will work.

For example, the CPIC.

1973年出道，演了四十多年戲之後，才憑《叔叔》一片，首次獲得香港電影金像獎的影帝提名。

And Aaron Kwok, who competed in the same field, came with a "Wheat Passerby".

Although the director of the film is a newcomer, he is immature and slightly redundant in terms of narrative techniques, and he does not know what blank space is and what freehand is, but Aaron Kwok's performance is surging and surging to the heart, and he should be a fierce rival.

However, under the effect of "checking for leaks and filling deficiencies", the CPIC naturally emerged.

Of course, Taibao is qualified to win the actor.

This is about logic, not for Aaron Kwok.

The fifth logic, "Respect for the Elderly."

This concept just corresponds to the above "newborn tiger fails", talking about resume and qualifications.

比如首次獲得金像獎影帝提名的謝賢，逾八十歲高齡，攜《殺出個黃昏》一片，直接就橫壓全場，悍然奪帝。

"Fourth Brother" has actually won the Lifetime Achievement Award at the Academy Awards, and after three years, he won the Best Actor Award again.

Many people apply this example to this year, thinking that Xu Guanwen may copy Xie Xian's path, first win the Lifetime Achievement Award, and then win the actor, to have a "double happiness" one after another.

But there's an obvious fact to look at.

Xie Xian did not have the actor award in hand before, he is very old, and he participated in the competition for the first time, whether it is out of respect or compensation, this award has something to rely on.

But Xu Guanwen himself is the first generation of actor of the Academy Awards, and it may be useless to add it.

You can count how many actors have won the Best Actor Award and received the Lifetime Achievement Award in the history of the Academy Awards.

So Xu Guanwen should be powerless to borrow this time.

The sixth logic, "compensation".

This mechanism is also the particularity of the Hong Kong Film Awards.

It is an indispensable fact that good acting may not win awards, and in the history of the Hong Kong Film Awards, such incidents and cases are not uncommon.

Since there is reversal, there should be compensation.

This year's five candidates, aside from the two newcomers, and then Xu Guanwen, who is almost retiring, is invited aside, in fact, Aaron Kwok and Liu Qingyun can talk about this concept.

The two are already old rivals.

Let's talk about Liu Qingyun first.

In terms of works and performances, his "New Love", "Detective" and "Killing Gold" are all good works, and the performances are also remarkable, but on the stage of the Academy Awards, there is no result, and at the same time, he won three actor trophies with the three movies mentioned above that are very ordinary or even a little bad, and not outstanding performances.

Look at Aaron Kwok again.

"Three Forks" and "Father and Son" are many years old, and they are also the starting point for him to shake the film industry, and later handed over "Murderer", "Cold War", "Floating City Tycoon", "Treading Blood and Seeking Plum Blossoms", "Wheat Passerby" and "Wushuang" and other masterpieces, but only one "Treading Blood and Seeking Plum Blossoms" was crowned emperor.

If you want to talk about the events of the year, Liu Qingyun of "I Want to Be Famous" won the emperor, which seems to have the nature of "compensation".

Because it is obvious that no matter whether you compare the quality of the movie or the ability of performance, Aaron Kwok, who came with "Father and Son", should overpower Liu Qingyun in "I Want to Be Famous".

It turned out to be the other way around.

Therefore, if we talk about this session, based on the logic of "compensation", there is no doubt that the balance should sink to Aaron Kwok's side.

But then again, Aaron Kwok in "Temporary Robbery" actually doesn't need to consider this concept, because his performance is really ridiculously strong.

It can be called "invincible".

Acting is a thing.

Some people are old and refined, there is an indomitable one, and there is also an "avalanche" of old age, these things are different depending on personal endowment, pursuit, cultivation and experience.

Regardless of the final result of this year's Academy Awards, the role of Mei Lantian who burns Aaron Kwok's spirit and emotion will never be overshadowed.

而“封帝邏輯”，權當一笑。